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How High Will Temperatures Rise in My Lifetime?

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Do you want to know how much hotter the world has become since you were born? Or how much hotter it will get over the rest of your life?  Now you can, thanks to a new nifty interactive graphic by Duncan Clark.

ipcc-blog-series-imageThis post is part of a series on
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

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The graphic incorporates the latest information from the just–released IPCC report. Richard Millar, working with Myles Allen, provided the “guts” of the interactive graphic for future temperature rise, which are based on the high scenario in the IPCC report.

The foundation of this graphic is part of a new collaborative research effort between UCS, Oxford University, and others, which you’ll hear more about around the time of an upcoming American Geophysical Union meeting. For now, join Bill Gates and more than 125,000 others who have checked out past and future temperatures over their lifetimes.

 

How hot has it gotten over your lifetime? What about your grandparents? What about a child dear to you? Send me a comment about your personalized global warming metrics.

 


Posted in: Global Warming, Uncategorized Tags: , ,

About the author: Brenda Ekwurzel is a senior climate scientist and assistant director of climate research and analysis at UCS. She has expertise on many aspects of climate variability including Arctic Ocean and sea ice, wildfires, groundwater, and coastal erosion. She holds a Ph.D. in isotope geochemistry from Columbia University (Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory). See Brenda's full bio.

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  • Jack P

    Man made global warming is a myth. Many scientists now say the sun is the driving factor behind the planets temperature. Also I saw a news report showing how there is 60% more ice than this time last year on either the south or north pole, I can’t remember which one it was again.

    • http://www.ucsusa.org/about/staff/staff/brenda-ekwurzel.html Brenda Ekwurzel

      Jack,
      You bring up some points where the observations are worth checking against. Note that I wanted to give you some links to government web sites, but many sites are down due to the U.S. government shutdown so some of these links may not work today. First, the IPCC has pronounced “It is extremely likely that human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century” (http://bit.ly/1agFdvb). With regard to the sun, it depends on what time frame you are talking about. The sun is a bit player over the past century when compared to other natural and human factors that influence climate (see http://bit.ly/19vX7b6 and http://bit.ly/GJptsz). The pace of ice ages involve orbital variations that create variation of the sun’s energy over time (http://bit.ly/1fdGIAl). This factor has been captured in so-called Milankovitch Cycles (http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/milankovitch.html) named after the scientist who discovered these. Arctic sea ice extent is different from Antarctic sea ice extent (see figures at the bottom of this link http://bit.ly/17h7GOr). Typically, Antarctic sea ice extent grows each southern hemisphere winter to a similar maximum level and shrinks during the summer to a similar minimum level with not much net change since satellite measurements began in 1979. Arctic sea ice extent, especially during summer, has declined over the same time period.

      Brenda

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